Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-11 2.549184e-01 0.344664 0.449801 0.580079 0.735170 0.911960 1.126727
2026-01-18 1.324693e-01 0.233178 0.371910 0.567683 0.827476 1.151403 1.576419
2026-01-25 7.074869e-02 0.167104 0.323855 0.573012 0.935075 1.419136 2.091172
2026-02-01 3.288393e-02 0.112603 0.269455 0.550890 0.996167 1.629207 2.550817
2026-02-08 1.747476e-02 0.087551 0.251606 0.576635 1.125236 1.940572 3.167475
2026-02-15 7.709924e-03 0.063941 0.224871 0.578319 1.213700 2.198006 3.724281
2026-02-22 4.060421e-03 0.054235 0.223238 0.623714 1.376001 2.574453 4.469847
2026-03-01 1.713932e-03 0.043706 0.213915 0.650595 1.507707 2.910722 5.171805
2026-03-08 4.682188e-04 0.032851 0.196859 0.656153 1.600214 3.189007 5.798307
2026-03-15 4.536521e-05 0.022871 0.174707 0.643679 1.656039 3.409215 6.344090
2026-03-22 4.235113e-07 0.017382 0.164287 0.655813 1.758115 3.708905 7.021528
2026-03-29 NaN 0.012527 0.151433 0.657910 1.839230 3.975991 7.656152
2026-04-05 NaN 0.007641 0.131310 0.635531 1.870176 4.162977 8.178896
2026-04-12 NaN 0.004520 0.115136 0.619076 1.910900 4.368560 8.739150
2026-04-19 NaN 0.002905 0.106456 0.623082 1.995799 4.656074 9.441565
2026-04-26 NaN 0.001377 0.091051 0.598766 2.013779 4.822739 9.950641
2026-05-03 NaN 0.000978 0.089987 0.625633 2.152001 5.215419 10.845130
2026-05-10 NaN 0.000503 0.082909 0.627191 2.230119 5.499189 11.565000
2026-05-17 NaN 0.000433 0.087031 0.675130 2.423875 6.006909 12.673726
2026-05-24 NaN 0.000285 0.086485 0.703495 2.571520 6.431996 13.651860
2026-05-31 NaN 0.000125 0.081087 0.709337 2.663577 6.754159 14.462359
2026-06-07 NaN 0.000027 0.072251 0.696133 2.705907 6.981690 15.115999
2026-06-14 NaN 0.000007 0.069135 0.708952 2.815971 7.344084 16.009089